Suspicious bets on Maduro’s removal nets user over $400,000
05 Jan 2026
A new user on the prediction market Polymarket has attracted attention after winning hundreds of thousands of dollars on bets that appeared to predict the United States’ seizure of Venezuela’s leader, Nicolas Maduro.
The anonymous user set up an account on the platform eight days ago and then placed a series of wagers worth nearly US$34,000 before the assault, which had raked in profits of more than US$409,000 by Sunday afternoon, Polymarket data showed.
The wagers included predictions that Maduro would be out of office by January 31, as well as that the US would invoke war powers against Venezuela, send troops to the country, or invade by the same date, according to the platform’s records.